Kansas City ChiefsatMiami Dolphins
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM UTC · Hard Rock Stadium · Season 2026
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
KC 25.2 — MIA 20.8
Win probability
KC 71%
Model confidence
High
Baseline projection from season win rate and home advantage. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
Loading historical accuracy…
Market prices
No market prices available for this game yet.
Compare with an outside price
Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.
Add both prices to see the comparison.
A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Factor breakdown is unavailable for this game.
Team comparison
KC (left) versus MIA (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
Your plan: Free · Unlocks with Pro — $9.99/month
Recent form
Kansas City Chiefs
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 20.0
- Avg allowed
- 20.5
- Streak
- W1
Miami Dolphins
- Last 5
- 0-5
- Last 10
- 3-7
- Avg scored
- 16.5
- Avg allowed
- 21.8
- Streak
- L5
Historical matchup
These teams have no completed head-to-head games in the EdgeIQ database.
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Kansas City Chiefs
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
Miami Dolphins
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
EdgeIQ AI
Sign in to ask EdgeIQ AI about this matchup. Free accounts include 5 AI requests per month.
Sign in to askYour hypothetical prediction
Paper predictions only — EdgeIQ never involves money, wagers or payouts.
Sign in to track a prediction