Kansas City ChiefsatAtlanta Falcons
Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Season 2026
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
KC 19.2 — ATL 26.8
Win probability
ATL 82%
Model confidence
High
Baseline projection from season win rate and home advantage. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Market prices
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Factor breakdown is unavailable for this game.
Team comparison
KC (left) versus ATL (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Kansas City Chiefs
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 20.0
- Avg allowed
- 20.5
- Streak
- W1
Atlanta Falcons
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 21.6
- Avg allowed
- 21.4
- Streak
- L1
Historical matchup
ATL 0 — 1 KC
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Kansas City Chiefs
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
Atlanta Falcons
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
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