New England PatriotsatChicago Bears
Fri, Oct 23, 12:15 AM UTC · Soldier Field · Season 2026
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
NE 16.2 — CHI 29.8
Win probability
CHI 94%
Model confidence
High
Baseline projection from season win rate and home advantage. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Market prices
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Factor breakdown is unavailable for this game.
Team comparison
NE (left) versus CHI (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
New England Patriots
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 2-8
- Avg scored
- 16.7
- Avg allowed
- 25.3
- Streak
- L2
Chicago Bears
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 21.5
- Avg allowed
- 24.2
- Streak
- W2
Historical matchup
CHI 0 — 1 NE
Sample size: 1 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
New England Patriots
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
Chicago Bears
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
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