Los Angeles ChargersatKansas City Chiefs
Sun, Oct 18, 8:25 PM UTC · Arrowhead Stadium · Season 2026
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
LAC 22.2 — KC 23.8
Win probability
KC 58%
Model confidence
Low
Baseline projection from season win rate and home advantage. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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Market prices
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Factor breakdown is unavailable for this game.
Team comparison
LAC (left) versus KC (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Los Angeles Chargers
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 4-6
- Avg scored
- 23.0
- Avg allowed
- 23.9
- Streak
- L3
Kansas City Chiefs
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 5-5
- Avg scored
- 20.0
- Avg allowed
- 20.5
- Streak
- W1
Historical matchup
KC 2 — 0 LAC
Sample size: 2 games
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Los Angeles Chargers
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
Kansas City Chiefs
Availability data is unavailable for this team.
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