New Orleans SaintsatBaltimore Ravens
Sun, Sep 20, 5:00 PM UTC · M&T Bank Stadium · Season 2026
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
NO 11.1 — BAL 30.4
Win probability
BAL 83%
Model confidence
High
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
Loading historical accuracy…
Market prices
Best available American price across US sportsbooks, updated 5 minutes ago.
+330
BetUS
-380
DraftKings
+8.5 (-110)
MyBookie.ag
-8.5 (-105)
DraftKings
O 46.5 (-109)
LowVig.ag
U 46.5 (-102)
DraftKings
Implied chance
NO 23% · BAL 79%
Versus EdgeIQ
EdgeIQ's estimate is 6.0 points higher on BAL than the margin-free market number (77% on BAL).
Prices are shown for reference only and move constantly. EdgeIQ is an analytics service, takes no wagers and offers no prices of its own.
Compare with an outside price
Enter the moneyline prices you have seen elsewhere. EdgeIQ converts them into a plain chance of winning, strips out the operator's built-in margin, and shows how that compares with the model estimate. EdgeIQ does not take wagers and shows no prices of its own.
| Team | Your price | Market chance | EdgeIQ chance | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | +330 | 23% | 17% | -6.0 pts |
| BAL | -380 | 77% | 83% | +6.0 pts |
Margin in those prices
2%
Model price · NO
+499
Model price · BAL
-499
A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
NO (left) versus BAL (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
New Orleans Saints
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 2-8
- Avg scored
- 15.3
- Avg allowed
- 25.1
- Streak
- L1
Baltimore Ravens
- Last 5
- 4-1
- Last 10
- 9-1
- Avg scored
- 30.7
- Avg allowed
- 12.0
- Streak
- W4
Historical matchup
These teams have no completed head-to-head games in the EdgeIQ database.
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
New Orleans Saints
- Tyler Shoughavailable
- Spencer Rattleravailable
- Taysom Hillavailable
- Chris Olaveavailable
- Alvin Kamaraquestionable
- Devin Nealavailable
- Audric Estimeavailable
- Kendre Milleravailable
- Evan Hullavailable
- Mason Tiptonavailable
- Rashid Shaheedavailable
- Juwan Johnsonavailable
- Devaughn Veleavailable
- Brandin Cooksavailable
- Kevin Austin Jr.available
- Dante Pettisavailable
- Foster Moreauavailable
- Jack Stollavailable
- Ronnie Bellavailable
- Zaire Mitchell-Padenavailable
- Moliki Matavaoavailable
- Samori Toureavailable
- Demario Davisavailable
- Alontae Tayloravailable
- Pete Werneravailable
- Jonas Sankeravailable
- KoolAid McKinstryavailable
- Justin Reidavailable
- Carl Grandersonavailable
- Danny Stutsmanavailable
- Cameron Jordanquestionable
- Chris Rumph IIavailable
- Nathan Shepherdavailable
- Davon Godchauxavailable
- Chase Youngavailable
- Bryan Breseeavailable
- Quincy Rileyavailable
- Jordan Howdenavailable
- Jonathan Bullardavailable
- Isaac Yiadomavailable
- Isaiah Stalbirdavailable
- Terrell Burgessavailable
- Jonah Williamsavailable
- Jaylan Fordavailable
- John Ridgewayavailable
- Julian Blackmonavailable
- Khristian Boydavailable
- Michael Davisavailable
- Vernon Broughtonavailable
- Velus Jones Jr.available
- Zach Woodavailable
- Taliese Fuagaavailable
- Dillon Radunzavailable
- Blake Grupeavailable
- Eku Leotaavailable
- Charlie Smythavailable
- Nyheim Hinesavailable
- Kai Kroegeravailable
Baltimore Ravens
- Lamar Jacksonavailable
- Tyler Huntleyavailable
- Cooper Rushavailable
- Derrick Henryavailable
- Keaton Mitchellavailable
- Justice Hillavailable
- Mark Andrewsavailable
- Rasheen Aliavailable
- Patrick Ricardavailable
- DeAndre Hopkinsavailable
- Isaiah Likelyavailable
- Rashod Batemanavailable
- Charlie Kolaravailable
- Tylan Wallaceavailable
- Zaire Mitchell-Padenavailable
- Roquan Smithavailable
- Kyle Hamiltonavailable
- Malaki Starksavailable
- Nate Wigginsavailable
- Alohi Gilmanavailable
- Marlon Humphreyavailable
- Trenton Simpsonavailable
- Travis Jonesavailable
- Chidobe Awuzieavailable
- Mike Greenavailable
- John Jenkinsavailable
- Tavius Robinsonavailable
- Keyon Martinavailable
- Kyle Van Noyavailable
- Brent Urbanavailable
- Jake Hummelavailable
- Dre'Mont Jonesavailable
- David Ojaboavailable
- CJ Okoyeavailable
- Keondre Jacksonavailable
- Odafe Owehavailable
- Jay Higginsavailable
- Justin Madubuikequestionable
- Ar'Darius Washingtonavailable
- Josh Tupouavailable
- Reuben Lowery IIIavailable
- Jaire Alexanderavailable
- Chandler Martinavailable
- Broderick Washingtonavailable
- Aeneas Peeblesavailable
- Tyler Loopavailable
- Carl Jones Jr.available
- Ronnie Stanleyavailable
- Amani Oruwariyeavailable
- Joe Noteboomavailable
- Carl Lawsonavailable
- Jordan Stoutavailable
- Taven Bryanavailable
- Sanoussi Kaneavailable
- Emery Jonesavailable
- Tyler Linderbaumavailable
- LaJohntay Westeravailable
- Zay Flowersquestionable
- Devontez Walkerquestionable
- Teddye Buchananquestionable
- T.J. Tampaquestionable
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