NFL predictions and sports analytics, explained
Short, practical guides to the way EdgeIQ models games — what the numbers mean, how they are graded and how to use them as research. Analytics only: no wagering, no guaranteed outcomes.
How EdgeIQ's NFL Predictions Work
A plain-language walkthrough of how EdgeIQ turns NFL schedules, team performance and recent form into a projected score, a win probability and a published accuracy record.
Read articleHow to Read an NFL Prediction: Probability, Score and Margin
Win probability, projected score and projected margin each answer a different question. Here is what every number on an EdgeIQ NFL game page means and how they fit together.
Read articleWhat Model Accuracy and Calibration Actually Mean
Accuracy counts how often a sports model is right. Calibration checks whether its confidence is honest. You need both to judge a prediction model — here is how to read each one.
Read articleComparing Model Projections With Market Prices
Sportsbook prices are a crowd forecast with a built-in margin. Here is how to strip that margin out, convert prices to probabilities and compare them with a model projection — as research, not as a wager.
Read articleHow EdgeIQ Picks the NFL Games Worth Watching
EdgeIQ surfaces upcoming NFL games where the model is most confident and has a verified track record at that confidence level. Here are the exact rules behind the list.
Read articleStill have questions?
The FAQ covers how predictions are generated, how accurate they are, what is free and why EdgeIQ is not a sportsbook.
Read the FAQ