Minnesota VikingsatNew Orleans Saints
Sun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM UTC · Caesars Superdome · Season 2026
EdgeIQ projection
Projected score
MIN 22.1 — NO 19.3
Win probability
MIN 56%
Model confidence
Low
Projection built from each team's scoring over its last 10 games, form weighted toward the last 3 and 5, the strength of the opponents it faced, a home-field adjustment, and a small allowance for high-production players listed as unavailable. Statistical estimate, not a guaranteed outcome.
This is a model-generated statistical projection based on historical data. It expresses uncertainty, not a guaranteed outcome.
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A difference in EdgeIQ's favour means the model rates that side higher than the price does. It is a statistical estimate carrying real uncertainty, never a guaranteed outcome, and the model's own historical accuracy is shown below.
Key factors
Team comparison
MIN (left) versus NO (right), last 10 completed games.
Advanced matchup analytics
Home and away splits, scoring and defensive trends over the last 10 games, rest days and the extended head-to-head log for this matchup.
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Recent form
Minnesota Vikings
- Last 5
- 2-3
- Last 10
- 6-4
- Avg scored
- 20.5
- Avg allowed
- 21.9
- Streak
- W1
New Orleans Saints
- Last 5
- 1-4
- Last 10
- 2-8
- Avg scored
- 15.3
- Avg allowed
- 25.1
- Streak
- L1
Historical matchup
These teams have no completed head-to-head games in the EdgeIQ database.
This is a very small sample. Head-to-head history carries little weight on its own, especially when rosters, coaching or circumstances have changed.
Player availability
Minnesota Vikings
- J.J. McCarthyavailable
- Carson Wentzavailable
- Max Brosmeravailable
- Cam Akersavailable
- Aaron Jonesavailable
- Zavier Scottavailable
- Jordan Addisonavailable
- Ty Chandleravailable
- Jalen Nailoravailable
- Justin Jeffersonavailable
- C.J. Hamavailable
- T.J. Hockensonavailable
- Josh Oliveravailable
- Adam Thielenavailable
- Ben Simsavailable
- Tai Feltonavailable
- Benjamin Yurosekavailable
- Blake Cashmanavailable
- Eric Wilsonavailable
- Josh Metellusavailable
- Byron Murphy Jr.available
- Jonathan Allenavailable
- Dallas Turneravailable
- Isaiah Rodgersavailable
- Ivan Pace Jr.available
- Jalen Redmondavailable
- Andrew Van Ginkelavailable
- Harrison Smithavailable
- Javon Hargraveavailable
- Theo Jacksonavailable
- Levi Drake Rodriguezavailable
- Jonathan Greenardavailable
- Jay Wardavailable
- Tavierre Thomasavailable
- Fabian Moreauavailable
- Jeff Okudahavailable
- Tyrion IngramDawkinsavailable
- Tyler Battyavailable
- Bo Richteravailable
- Elijah Williamsavailable
- Jordan Masonquestionable
- Chaz Chamblissavailable
- Austin Keysavailable
- Kobe Kingavailable
- Sione Takitakiavailable
- Donovan Jacksonavailable
- Will Reichardavailable
- Blake Brandelavailable
- Will Friesavailable
- Taki Taimaniavailable
- Andrew DePaolaavailable
- Myles Priceavailable
- Jeshaun Jonesavailable
- Ryan Wrightavailable
New Orleans Saints
- Tyler Shoughavailable
- Spencer Rattleravailable
- Taysom Hillavailable
- Chris Olaveavailable
- Alvin Kamaraquestionable
- Devin Nealavailable
- Audric Estimeavailable
- Kendre Milleravailable
- Evan Hullavailable
- Mason Tiptonavailable
- Rashid Shaheedavailable
- Juwan Johnsonavailable
- Devaughn Veleavailable
- Brandin Cooksavailable
- Kevin Austin Jr.available
- Dante Pettisavailable
- Foster Moreauavailable
- Jack Stollavailable
- Ronnie Bellavailable
- Zaire Mitchell-Padenavailable
- Moliki Matavaoavailable
- Samori Toureavailable
- Demario Davisavailable
- Alontae Tayloravailable
- Pete Werneravailable
- Jonas Sankeravailable
- KoolAid McKinstryavailable
- Justin Reidavailable
- Carl Grandersonavailable
- Danny Stutsmanavailable
- Cameron Jordanquestionable
- Chris Rumph IIavailable
- Nathan Shepherdavailable
- Davon Godchauxavailable
- Chase Youngavailable
- Bryan Breseeavailable
- Quincy Rileyavailable
- Jordan Howdenavailable
- Jonathan Bullardavailable
- Isaac Yiadomavailable
- Isaiah Stalbirdavailable
- Terrell Burgessavailable
- Jonah Williamsavailable
- Jaylan Fordavailable
- John Ridgewayavailable
- Julian Blackmonavailable
- Khristian Boydavailable
- Michael Davisavailable
- Vernon Broughtonavailable
- Velus Jones Jr.available
- Zach Woodavailable
- Taliese Fuagaavailable
- Dillon Radunzavailable
- Blake Grupeavailable
- Eku Leotaavailable
- Charlie Smythavailable
- Nyheim Hinesavailable
- Kai Kroegeravailable
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